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Jonny Larsen's Statement About the Internal Survey

My campaign ran this survey. It is a snapshot in time, and we do not claim it is a prediction. Read like a focus group, it shows how much I moved voters once they knew more about me.

So many voters have told me they feel their voice doesn’t matter and their representatives don’t listen. More than 6 in 10 respondents are dissatisfied with Rep. Kennedy’s performance, including nearly half of Republicans. People of every party want something new. They want someone who understands the challenges they face, with the courage to listen and the integrity to do what is right.

We asked the same question twice, “How likely are you to vote for Jonny Larsen this November?” once at the start, and again at the end after respondents had read a short bio. Among undecided voters, those likely to vote for me more than tripled, from 14.1% to 47.3%. Among Republicans, it rose from 35.9% to 51.2%. One in three who first said they were unlikely to vote for me changed their answer, and one in five moved all the way to likely.

I don’t want us to be a country coming apart; rather, I want us to be a country coming together. Governor Cox asks us to disagree better. I believe we also need to agree better because we are more alike than politicians or the news want us to think. I want to work on the 90% of things we agree on instead of fighting over the 10% we don’t.

— Jonny Larsen

Source: Jonny Larsen For Congress internal survey, Aug. 27 to Sept. 13, 2026, 1,270 registered voters in Utah’s 4th Congressional District; margin of error ±3.34%.

Download the Full Survey Results

PDF · 10 pages · 1.3 MB

The Results

Click any slide to download the full survey results (PDF).

The ballot: Jonny Larsen leads Rep. Kennedy by 23 points. Asked who they would vote for if the election for Congress were held today: Jonny Larsen 47.7%, Mike Kennedy 25.0%, other 3.7%, undecided 23.6%.Rep. Kennedy’s record: more than 6 in 10 are dissatisfied with Rep. Kennedy. Completely satisfied 10.2%, somewhat satisfied 26.0%, somewhat dissatisfied 21.7%, completely dissatisfied 42.1%. Satisfied 36.2%, dissatisfied 63.8%.Getting to know Jonny Larsen: voters who know him favor him 3 to 1. Half of respondents have heard of him: 22.9% favorable, 7.2% unfavorable, 19.9% no opinion. The other 50.0% had not heard of him. After reading his bio, 59.5% of all respondents were likely to vote for him.When voters meet Jonny Larsen: his story moved voters 13.7 points. Likely to vote for him before reading his bio: 45.8% likely, 29.2% unsure, 25.0% unlikely. After: 59.5% likely, 20.9% unsure, 19.6% unlikely. His bio moved nearly half of unsure voters, and 1 in 5 unlikely voters, to likely.Before and after, by group: the share likely to vote for Jonny Larsen before and after reading his bio. Everyone, 45.8% to 59.5% (+13.7). Republicans, 35.9% to 51.2% (+15.3). Unaffiliated voters, 53.9% to 68.6% (+14.7). Undecided voters, 14.1% to 47.3% (+33.2). Rep. Kennedy voters, 7.0% to 20.7% (+13.7).What matters most: the economy and cost of living matter most to nearly 9 in 10 voters. Then government corruption and accountability, more than 6 in 10; Utah’s land, water and environment, more than half; healthcare costs and access, about 1 in 3; immigration and the border, about 1 in 4.Who we heard from: 56% are registered Republicans. Party registration on the voter file for the 1,270 respondents: Republican 56.1%, Democratic 12.9%, unaffiliated 24.1%, other 6.9%. The district: 55.7%, 10.5%, 27.9% and 5.9%.Jonny Larsen’s statement about the internal survey, the same text as on this page, with notes on how the survey was conducted.Utah Debate Commission poll: nearly 6 in 10 respondents did not pick Rep. Kennedy. Mike Kennedy 41.7%, Jonny Larsen 32.9%, Steven Burt 5.7%, Taylor Wright 5.3%, other 2.5%, undecided 11.9%. In 2018, Ben McAdams trailed Rep. Mia Love by 9.2 points in the same poll, then won the seat. Jonny Larsen trails Rep. Kennedy by 8.8.The Utah Debate Commission’s poll as published on Sept. 24, 2026: 513 respondents, margin of error ±4.32%. Mike Kennedy 41.7%, Jonny Larsen 32.9%, Steven Burt 5.7%, Taylor Wright 5.3%, other 2.5%, undecided 11.9%.
Download the Full Survey Results

PDF · 10 pages · 1.3 MB